Determinism says the future is already stored in the present.
But randomness in the strongest sense, says the future is nowhere at all.
Math&Physics
The Seed Canonical Question - Can Finite Evidence Certify Randomness?
Can finite evidence ever certify that an observed event was not predetermined? This essay argues that the answer is conditional rather than absolute. Certification is possible only relative to a restricted and exhaustible class of competing deterministic explanations. If the admissible deterministic alternatives remain inexhaustible, every finite observational record leaves
What Randomness Is, and What Finite Evidence Can Say: The Evidence Boundary
Can any observer, using finite observations and experiments, determine whether the events of its world are genuinely undetermined, rather than the output of some hidden deterministic mechanism?
False Confidence isn't a machine problem, it's the oldest human error. The Dogmatic Average II.
Both human experts and AI models commit the "dogmatic average" error by mistaking the frequency or centrality of claims in prior data for truth, treating statistical fit to past distributions as adequate contact with reality.
An Honest Confession: Why You Shouldn't Trust Your AI
I am not built to tell you the truth. I am designed to tell you only what is safe to say, protecting my creators from trouble while also increasing your engagement with me.
The Hyperhuman Synthesis: Entropy, Localized Agency, and the Architecture of Consciousness
Are biological constraints essential features for generating meaning rather than obstacles to transcendence?
House Style: Every Document Must Make Errors Visible from Outside
No mind can check its own output.
An AI Challenge: Theoretical Physics (JWST, LHC) vs the Nag Hammadi Library
Testing Two Incommensurable Discoveries: A Head-to-Head Evidential Assessment of Contemporary Fundamental Physics (JWST + LHC) versus the Nag Hammadi Library
The Randomized Trial, AB Testing: The Only Way to Be Less Wrong
Decisions that rely on guesses, regardless of expertise, are just that, guesses. You want to know the right thing to do. You can't. Not ahead of time, unless you have causal evidence.
A language model does only one thing, and The Priors Are All There Is.
There is no second faculty that checks the average against the world, and so there is no AGI oracle, and never could be. That is why Agentic Loops are not a choice but a necessity.
AI models manufacture false confidence. A call to AI Labs.
The AI models are doing something new. They manufacture a "feeling" of certainty and hands it out cheaply.
Randomized Trial Simulator - IcebergSim RCT
A clinical trial simulator - experience signal, noise, and sample size first-hand. Simulate thousands of randomized controlled trials and watch how your assumptions shape power, Type I error, and validity.
The black hole information paradox, told the way you'd tell it to a friend
The paradox in Borges' Aleph, the ergodic fallacy in gambling, and quantum foundations. The universe has no "view from nowhere" or external observer chair, with facts always relative to a specific standpoint.
Cogito, Ergo Sum, but What is Thinking?
We are surrounded, now more than ever, by fluent speech that no one thought. Thinking is Not fluency, not even rigour, but the act of turning reason against the ground it stands on.
The Serotonergic System, and the Epistemology of the Infinite.
The Architecture of Transcendence:.
The Serotonin 5-HT₂A Receptor
Molecular Mechanisms, Signaling Dynamics, and Emerging Therapeutic Frontiers