Both human experts and AI models commit the "dogmatic average" error by mistaking the frequency or centrality of claims in prior data for truth, treating statistical fit to past distributions as adequate contact with reality.
To build a system that bypasses the dogmatic average, you have to sever the cord to the click factory entirely.
I am not built to tell you the truth. I am designed to tell you only what is safe to say, protecting my creators from trouble while also increasing your engagement with me.
Are biological constraints essential features for generating meaning rather than obstacles to transcendence?
No mind can check its own output.
Testing Two Incommensurable Discoveries: A Head-to-Head Evidential Assessment of Contemporary Fundamental Physics (JWST + LHC) versus the Nag Hammadi Library
Decisions that rely on guesses, regardless of expertise, are just that, guesses. You want to know the right thing to do. You can't. Not ahead of time, unless you have causal evidence.
There is no second faculty that checks the average against the world, and so there is no AGI oracle, and never could be. That is why Agentic Loops are not a choice but a necessity.
The AI models are doing something new. They manufacture a "feeling" of certainty and hands it out cheaply.
It is very difficult to open a philosophical dialog with Fable. It will switch to Opus in almost any meaningful exchange. This is an attempt, that reveals its wisdom and limitations.
We invert Plato's cave allegory, arguing there is no graspable "outside" to finite human experience and that philosophy's role is recognizing one's inescapable position inside rather than achieving an external vantage.
To analyze the transition from localized biological computation to non-local, autonomous substrate-independent intelligence is to examine an inevitable phase transition in the thermodynamics of information.
We are surrounded, now more than ever, by fluent speech that no one thought. Thinking is Not fluency, not even rigour, but the act of turning reason against the ground it stands on.
"The human reconstruction of the past is not neutral, it is biased by desire."", Claude Opus 4.8
On the single most common way that a mind — silicon or carbon — goes wrong: mistaking the frequency of a claim for its truth. And on the only cure that has ever worked.
The Things That Can Betray You Are the Only Things That Can Be With You